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Thread: FTC to Regulate Blogging

  1. #71
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    Quote Originally Posted by bogart View Post


    People still buy books and people still buy cars even though Detriot isn't selling any.
    Very true. I subscribe to a local paper, that actually has CONTENT... Decent content, a great editor and wonderful STORIES!!!

    They are on the web and in print. 136 years old and counting. I pay to have it delivered. The FREEbies are all failing. The advertiser type papers and the ones that have a one sided leftist slant. Why? Because they are devoid of content, full of hate, and oversaturated with ADS!

    Build a better mouse trap, again... I doubt its the medium, the content rather that is the problem.
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  2. #72
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mia View Post
    What is dead is content, not the medium in which it is produced... Once those that produce newspapers realize that their content is what sucks, they'll be in a far better position to rebuild what once was.
    I decided to put your theory to a test by looking at the circulation numbers of one of the only newspapers in the United States worth reading, the Wall Street Journal.

    Here's what I found: Of the 25 largest-circulation newspapers in the U.S., only one—Dow Jones & Co.’s The Wall Street Journal—posted a gain in circulation in the 12-month period ended Sept. 30. But, those numbers are for both combined print and electronic subscriptions.

    This is pretty much the same story as in April, when The Wall Street Journal, the second-largest newspaper, was the only one in the top 25 to raise its daily circulation.

    Quote Originally Posted by memenode View Post
    It's a "false flag recovery". But don't take my word for it. Just wait a few months.
    The Alt-A mortgages are going to start resetting soon. That alone is going to cause a huge wave of home loan foreclosures, which will in turn cause additional bank failures. But wait, there's more. American businesses can't compete with the government for credit, so they can't expand. This pushes up unemployment, which in turn is partially responsible for the fact that prime fixed-rate mortgages now account for one in three foreclosure starts.

    Quote Originally Posted by memenode View Post
    Some reputable analysts and economists including Peter Schiff (the guy widely credited for warning people about this crash before it happened) and George Celente say that the real thing is yet to come. All of this was just an introduction and what's coming they're calling "The Greater Depression".
    Schiff is running for Cliff Dodd's Senate seat.

    Interestingly, economists on the left are also starting to agree. Roubini recently stated:

    There’s a huge bubble, because we have zero rates in the U.S., zero rates around the world and a huge carry trade. Everyone is borrowing at zero interest rates in dollars and getting a capital gain because the dollar is weakening, so they are borrowing at negative rates. And then they invest in risky assets: commodities, equities, credit. We’re creating a bigger bubble than before.

    It’s going to go crashing down, in an ugly way. That’s the basics of the argument.

    Quote Originally Posted by memenode View Post
    The healthy thing would be to let the market weed out the bad businesses, no matter how big they were. Hell, that's what market is for! That's why these recessions exist! If they let them fail it would have been tough for about a year (which is already past) and then the REAL not fake recovery would begin, skyrocketing opportunities on new better grounds. But no.. they kept the very businesses whose practices led to the crisis, afloat at the expense of everyone else. This created an illusion of recovery, but it's just another bubble and when it finally bursts it's game over and back to the real world.
    Exactly. Business failure isn't a problem of free markets, business failure is a sign that free markets are working.

    Quote Originally Posted by bogart View Post
    There's a possibility that the economy could fall into a black hole. What little growth that we have had is due to Government spending like "cash-for-clunkers" and "$8000 first time homebuyer credit" etc. There programs as well as trillions in stimulus spending are unsubstainable. There is nothing that's happening in the economy that provides any hope for a recovery.
    Cash for Clunkers really helped the economy... of Japan.

    Homebuyer credits just convince people to take out mortgages they can't afford and set us up for a new round of foreclosures in the near future.

    Quote Originally Posted by bogart View Post
    To make matters worse, the housing price crash is continuing. Prices are expected to drop as much as 25% over the next 12 months.
    I think that has to happen. Rising taxes mean that Americans are going to have to learn to live on approximately 60% of what they do now. One result of that is that real estate prices (values) must come down to accommodate for that.

    Quote Originally Posted by bogart View Post
    The only positive sign is the stock market. But that may be in fact a negative sign. What I mean is that liquidity is following into the market. That money can leave just as fast and cause a stock market crash. Bear markets usually don't give any warning signs.
    The stock market is going up based upon two things:
    • Irrational faith in government intervention
    • The rapidly descending dollar makes it "look" like stock prices are going up


    If you own a stock worth $100 and that stock doubles in value to $200 -- while at the the same time the dollar halves in value -- Did you really gain anything?

    Currency devaluations create "fake" asset value increases.
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  3. #73
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    Quote Originally Posted by Will.Spencer View Post
    Interestingly, economists on the left are also starting to agree. Roubini recently stated:
    There’s a huge bubble, because we have zero rates in the U.S., zero rates around the world and a huge carry trade. Everyone is borrowing at zero interest rates in dollars and getting a capital gain because the dollar is weakening, so they are borrowing at negative rates. And then they invest in risky assets: commodities, equities, credit. We’re creating a bigger bubble than before.
    It’s going to go crashing down, in an ugly way. That’s the basics of the argument.
    We are still in a bubble. Unless the velocity of money increases and inflation over-rides the bubble.

    Roubini stated An asset “bust” may not occur for another year or two as a “wall of liquidity” pushes prices higher.

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    Quote Originally Posted by bogart View Post
    Roubini stated An asset “bust” may not occur for another year or two as a “wall of liquidity” pushes prices higher.
    It's driving me crazy, because I am currently trying to come up with a long-term investment strategy.

    With the U.S. government making random wild changes to the global economy, it's impossible for a sane person to make rational investment decisions. Anything you invest in today could see it's value double or halve based upon some arbitrary and unforeseeable decree from the Obama administration.

    That's no formula for economic growth, because economic growth requires investment and investment requires faith in a foreseeable future.
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  5. #75
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    Quote Originally Posted by Will.Spencer View Post
    It's driving me crazy, because I am currently trying to come up with a long-term investment strategy.

    With the U.S. government making random wild changes to the global economy, it's impossible for a sane person to make rational investment decisions. Anything you invest in today could see it's value double or halve based upon some arbitrary and unforeseeable decree from the Obama administration.

    That's no formula for economic growth, because economic growth requires investment and investment requires faith in a foreseeable future.
    The formula for growth has been asset appreciation. People having been saving money. But rather depending on home and stock prices to fund their lifestyles and retirements.

    The bubble is also outside the Obama administration control in that they need China to keep funding and sending cheap goods.

    According to Bill Gross: "Assets Are $15 Trillion Overvalued and Fed Will Keep Rates at 0% Forever to Keep the Fantasy Alive"

    Bill Gross Assets Are 15 Trillion Overvalued and Fed Will Keep Rates at 0 Forever to Keep the Fantasy Alive: Tech Ticker, Yahoo! Finance

  6. #76
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    Quote Originally Posted by Will.Spencer View Post
    It's driving me crazy, because I am currently trying to come up with a long-term investment strategy.

    With the U.S. government making random wild changes to the global economy, it's impossible for a sane person to make rational investment decisions. Anything you invest in today could see it's value double or halve based upon some arbitrary and unforeseeable decree from the Obama administration.

    That's no formula for economic growth, because economic growth requires investment and investment requires faith in a foreseeable future.
    That reminded me of a book I've read which could be helpful there: Fail-Safe Investing by Harry Browne (available on amazon and here).

    It's a long term investment strategy that has one element of it gaining no matter what the current trends are (inflation, deflation, recession or boom/prosperity).

    I didn't put it in practice because I'm not yet financially able for long term investing (though I got a very small amount of silver and gold), but it's something I would consider when I do, except I don't like having anything to do with government so probably wouldn't buy bonds.. but cash, metals and even stocks at some point are an option.

    Also I think it might be possible to be sufficiently safe by just alternating between cash and metals, basically being prepared for both inflation and deflation since either occurs regardless of whether there's prosperity or recession. They always coincide. Obviously, cash goes when there's deflation (in the deflated currency) and metals go when there's inflation. Though I might be missing some subtleties.

    In any case, might be worth a read.

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    I think it shall be interesting what currency the online business will switch too once the USD is worthless. As you all probably know most places take USD via paypal etc. I think we will be seeing everyone using Euros in not to far in the future. What are places like Google going to pay you in? USD, but its worth as much a indian rupee, are you still going to be a publisher for Google? I dont think anyone would. They would have to change their system to pay you in Euros or some other currency.
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  8. #78
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    Google has already switched a lot of customers to Euros. They made that change shortly after their man Obama was elected.

    Google has also moved a large portion of it's own revenue to Ireland, because they are taxed 12.5% there instead of 35% as in the U.S.
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  10. #79
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    Quote Originally Posted by Will.Spencer View Post
    Google has already switched a lot of customers to Euros. They made that change shortly after their man Obama was elected.

    Google has also moved a large portion of it's own revenue to Ireland, because they are taxed 12.5% there instead of 35% as in the U.S.
    That's like lining everyone up for for kool-aid while you are drinking champagne.

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    I'm watching USD to local currency conversion rate daily. I already switched 2Checkout account to euro once in 2008 when dollar was weakest it ever was, but then it started a rally so I switched back. In recent weeks it took a dip, but in recent days it's coming back up again, so I'm still holding to it. :P

    The biggest worry is if USD is gonna at some point suddenly free fall how fast will online businesses adapt. It's easy to switch what you control, but various ad agencies who still do exclusively USD are a different story. Also, what about US customers who have only worthless dollars? Suddenly my prices become too high for them..

    It sucks.. depending on fiat currencies in times of crisis.

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