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Thread: The next Facebook?

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    m42's Avatar
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    The next Facebook?

    In it's latest market report, British communications watchdog, Ofcom cited a 5 percent decline in the number of 15-24 year olds using social networking sites such as Facebook. Although overall usage was up for all other age groups, social media sites, marketers, and advertisers have an especially keen interest in the 15-24's due to this group's tendency to lead the social media trends.

    Ofcom also reported a steep climb in Twitter's popularity. Usage has increase from .1 million Tweeters over the past year to 2.6 million in May of 2009.

    That being said, where are these 15-24's spending their time? Do you believe Twitter is going to trump Facebook? Does the next Facebook or Twitter already exist?

    Share your thoughts.
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    badmash is offline Aham Brahmasmi
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    I don't know about facebook but yes Twitter is getting popular day by day and most news channels keep sharing this website for latest news and other sources .

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    CoreyFreeman is offline Experienced Net Builder
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    Just because facebook is declining doesn't mean those teenagers are flocking to twitter. Also, twitter and facebook serve two completely different purposes.

    I wouldn't try getting my homework via DM from twitter. On facebook, somebody can send me an entire essay outline. That's just one of the ways we (the teenagers) use it. You have to think about photos, chat, groups, etc. All of those things are "integrated" into twitter, but they aren't a core part of it...

    I have yet to see a place that trumps facebook, but if you find a social media site with unlimited chatting time, then let me at it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sneakyheathen
    Just because facebook is declining doesn't mean those teenagers are flocking to twitter.
    Huh. Interesting correlation. No where in my post was it deliberately implied that this age group was migrating from Facebook to Twitter.

    The questions:
    1. If not on Facebook, where are the 15-24's hanging out now?
    2. Will Twitter surpass Facebook in number of users?
    3. Does the next Facebook or Twitter site already exist?

    This post was initially geared more toward social media trends and less toward site capability. Let's see what other interesting turns it takes.
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    MaxKidder is offline Newbie Net Builder
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    Twitter has a 40% attrition rate, whereas facebook has more dimensions and thus holds viewership accordingly.

    There is no doubt twitter has poached some facebookers, but does anyone still use myspace?

    Anyone?

    *Tumbleweeds*

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    Twitter has a bi-directional integration with the Facebook status update mechanism. Poaching would be somewhat moot since there's quite a bit of overlap with that specific feature.

    Many Tweeters (i.e. news sources) tend to update their statuses on Facebook concurrently via this integration.

    I know a few people who still actively use MySpace. Statistically speaking, it's still quite popular.
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    Desan is offline Moderator
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    Quote Originally Posted by m42 View Post
    That being said, where are these 15-24's spending their time?
    Maybe they are old school type. Hanging out with their friends. Conversation is always way better when it happens face to face.

    Though, I highly doubt this...

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    Quote Originally Posted by m42 View Post
    Huh. Interesting correlation. No where in my post was it deliberately implied that this age group was migrating from Facebook to Twitter.

    The questions:
    1. If not on Facebook, where are the 15-24's hanging out now?
    2. Will Twitter surpass Facebook in number of users?
    3. Does the next Facebook or Twitter site already exist?

    This post was initially geared more toward social media trends and less toward site capability. Let's see what other interesting turns it takes.

    The thread says "the next facebook" and you included information about twitter and whether or not it would beat facebook. Then you asked, where are they now, followed by "will twitter win." It's an easy correlation to make with the organization of your words. Just sayin'

    You could also draw that conclusion from the number of people elsewhere discussing "twitter v. facebook." I was working with the information at hand.

    Anyways, I dunno. I dig facebook, I won't really be leaving anything soonish.

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    Twitter is for microbloggers. Sites like facebook and myspace are for people looking for more then just microblogging.

    Those are 2 different types of sites that appeal to 2 different types of people.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sneakyheathen
    The thread says "the next facebook" and you included information about twitter and whether or not it would beat facebook. Then you asked, where are they now, followed by "will twitter win." It's an easy correlation to make with the organization of your words. Just sayin'

    You could also draw that conclusion from the number of people elsewhere discussing "twitter v. facebook." I was working with the information at hand.
    Both the article and my summary of the article cited a decline in all social networking usage for the 15-24 age group.

    Ofcom's use of social networking is fairly mainstream. It encompasses, but is not limited to, both Facebook and Twitter.* Statistics for both mediums were included to support the conclusions that overall usage amongst all other age groups was in fact up. This obviously means that the popularity of networking sites has not waned. So this leaves us with a few questions:

    The first question, if all social networking usage is down for the 15-24 age group, where are these 15-24's spending their time?

    This would not have been asked had people "simply" been migrating between Facebook and Twitter. As far as we know, these people aren't using the mainstream social networking sites. If they have migrated to a new medium, we may have a new trend on our hands and this information could prove quite useful.

    The second question, "Do you believe Twitter is going to trump Facebook?"

    Ofcom's research indicates that Twitter usage continues to grow at a remarkable rate. The question is simply, will Twitter usage surpass Facebook usage, not will Twitter replace Facebook. Again, no where does it assume a mass exodus from Facebook to Twitter. Remember, we don't know where that age group is hiding.

    Question three: "Does the next Facebook or Twitter already exist?"

    This could make for an interesting discussion.

    I hope that clarifies it.


    * Not stated in the article, Ofcom also tracks Bebo, MySpace, Hi5, Piczo, MSN Groups, and a few others.
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